The Southwest Monsoon is steadily advancing across India, covering additional regions and strengthening rainfall activity over several states. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), weather conditions are becoming increasingly favorable for the monsoon to progress into more parts of Telangana, Odisha, Jharkhand, Bihar, and Chhattisgarh over the next four to five days. As a result, rainfall intensity is expected to increase across many parts of the country.
A combination of widespread rain, thunderstorms, lightning, and gusty winds is likely to affect regions ranging from North India to the Northeast and southern states. The encouraging development for farmers and weather observers is that there are currently no strong signs of El Niño formation, reducing the risk of any major disruption to the monsoon's progress this season.
Between June 18 and June 24, light to moderate rainfall is expected across Jammu & Kashmir, Ladakh, Himachal Pradesh, and Uttarakhand. Thunderstorms accompanied by rain are also likely in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Uttar Pradesh, and Rajasthan.
Weather activity is expected to remain particularly intense over Rajasthan, where some areas may experience strong winds reaching speeds of 60 to 80 kmph. Dust storms are also possible in western Rajasthan, while isolated hailstorm activity cannot be ruled out in parts of Jammu & Kashmir and Himachal Pradesh.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are likely across Madhya Pradesh Weather, Chhattisgarh, and Vidarbha during the coming days. However, despite increasing rainfall activity, heatwave-like conditions may persist in eastern and western Madhya Pradesh until June 21. Maximum temperatures across central India are expected to rise by 2 to 3 degrees Celsius until June 19 before stabilizing thereafter.
Monsoon activity is strengthening over eastern India, bringing the likelihood of widespread rainfall between June 18 and June 24. Bihar may witness heavy rainfall at isolated locations between June 18 and June 20, while Odisha is expected to experience heavy rain on June 19.
Sub-Himalayan West Bengal and Sikkim are likely to receive prolonged spells of rain, with some locations facing very heavy precipitation. Strong winds reaching up to 70 kmph may also affect parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, and Odisha.
El Niño Update: No Immediate Threat to the Monsoon:
Global climate indicators continue to show the absence of a strong El Niño event over the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Meteorologists believe that neutral ocean-atmosphere conditions are likely to prevail in the near term, which is generally favorable for normal monsoon progression across India.
While weather agencies continue to monitor sea surface temperature patterns closely, current forecasts suggest that El Niño is unlikely to pose a significant threat to rainfall distribution during the ongoing phase of the monsoon season.
Northeast India to Witness Persistent Heavy Rainfall:
Extensive rainfall activity is expected to continue across Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Meghalaya, Nagaland, Manipur, Mizoram, and Tripura over the next week. Several districts in Assam and Meghalaya may receive very heavy rainfall, increasing the risk of waterlogging, localized flooding, and disruption in low-lying areas.
Monsoon Showers to Intensify Across Southern States:
Rainfall activity is expected to increase across Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, and Lakshadweep. Heavy rain may occur in parts of Kerala, Tamil Nadu, and coastal Karnataka. Thunderstorms accompanied by lightning and gusty winds are also likely in several areas of the region.
Weather Pattern Shifts in Maharashtra and Gujarat:
Light to moderate rainfall is expected across Konkan, Goa, Madhya Maharashtra, and Marathwada. While temperatures may rise slightly in Maharashtra over the next couple of days, a gradual decline of 2 to 3 degrees Celsius is anticipated after June 19, bringing some relief from the prevailing heat.
Heatwave Conditions Still Persist in Some Areas: Despite the advancing monsoon, hot weather conditions are expected to continue over parts of Bihar, Odisha, Madhya Pradesh, eastern and western Uttar Pradesh, Vidarbha, Telangana, Marathwada, and Madhya Maharashtra. Residents are advised to avoid prolonged exposure to the sun during peak afternoon hours and stay adequately hydrated as heat stress remains a concern in several regions.
FAQs:
1. What is the latest Monsoon Update for India?
The Southwest Monsoon is advancing across more regions of India and is expected to strengthen rainfall activity in several states over the next few days.
2. Which states are under a heavy rain alert?
Bihar, Odisha, Assam, Meghalaya, and parts of Northeast India are expected to receive heavy to very heavy rainfall.
3. Is El Niño affecting the monsoon this year?
Current weather indicators suggest that El Niño is not posing any immediate threat to the monsoon season.
4. Will Rajasthan receive rainfall?
Yes, Rajasthan is expected to experience thunderstorms, rainfall, strong winds, and possible dust storms in some areas.
5. How will the monsoon benefit farmers?
Increased rainfall activity will improve soil moisture, support crop sowing, and provide better conditions for agricultural operations across many regions.
